Monsoon Forecast 2023: Normal rainfall expected this year, El Nino likely this season

Monsoon Forecast 2023: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) is holding a press conference on “Long Range Forecast for Southwest Monsoon 2023”. The press conference is addressed by Dr M Ravichandran, Secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences and Dr. M Mohapatra, DGM at IMD. 

IMD monsoon rainfall forecast: What does the weather office predict on rains and El Nino this year?

IMD predicted a normal rainfall this year. Around 83.5cm of rainfall is expected for the monsoon months.

During June-September, there is a 67 per cent probability for normal to above normal rainfall, said IMD DGM M Mohapatra. He further said, El Nino conditions are likely to develop during monsoon season. El Nino impact may be felt during the second half of the monsoon.  About 40 per cent of El Nino years in the past were years with normal or above normal monsoon rainfall, he added

Skymet weather forecast

Private weather agency Skymet on Monday, April 10 released the monsoon forecast for 2023. According to the agency, India may witness below-normal rains for the upcoming monsoon.

The Noida-based private weather forecaster said that 94 per cent ( with an error margin of +/-5%) of the long-period average (LPA) of 868.6mm for the four-month long period is expected between June and September months.

(This story will be updated shortly)