Gold prices dip as robust US economic data dampens Fed rate cut expectations
Gold prices slipped further on Monday on upbeat U.S. economic data that dampened expectations the Federal Reserve could ease interest rates.
Gold prices slipped further on Monday after sliding from a more-than-14-month high the previous session on upbeat U.S. economic data that dampened expectations the Federal Reserve could ease interest rates. Spot gold edged 0.2% lower to $1,338.90 per ounce at 1:34 p.m. EDT (1734 GMT). Prices had surged to $1,358.04 on Friday, the highest since April 11, 2018. U.S. gold futures settled 0.1% lower at $1,342.90 per ounce.
"We had some very good retail sales and some very good industrial production figures come out on Friday," said Jeffrey Christian, managing partner of CPM Group. "What we are seeing today is some pullback from excessive bullishness last week, because of expectations the Fed might lower interest rates."
Above-forecast U.S. industrial output data and upbeat retail sales and consumer confidence readings on Friday pushed back futures markets expectations of any quick rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. Expectations of a rate cut at the Fed`s June 18-19 meeting fell to 21.7% from 28.3% on Thursday after the retail data, according to CME Group`s FedWatch tool. But bets for monetary easing at the July meeting remained at 85%. By Monday, expectations for easing had edged lower.
Investors also look towards a G20 summit later this month where U.S. President Donald Trump will likely meet Chinese President Xi Jinping amid their drawn-out trade spat that has ruffled markets since its conception last year. Concerns persist that the bitter trade war could drive world economies into recession.
"There are so many moving pieces I think a lot of people are looking at both the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee), and the G20 and saying `I really don`t know how this is going to shape out`," CPM Group`s Christian said. Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world`s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.6% to 764.10 tonnes on Friday from 759.70 tonnes on Thursday.
"Safe-haven flows in gold continue to inflate the extremely overbought positioning in gold with more than $4.4 billion entering the gold market over the week. Most of this flow is due to short covering," Societe Generale said in a note.
Spot gold may retest a support at $1,337 per ounce, a break below which could cause a loss to $1,324, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
Other precious metals traded lower as well, with spot silver falling 0.3% to $14.82 per ounce, and palladium declining 0.4% to $1,459.01.
Platinum dipped to its lowest since May 31, down 0.8% at $793.75 per ounce.
Get Latest Business News, Stock Market Updates and Videos; Check your tax outgo through Income Tax Calculator and save money through our Personal Finance coverage. Check Business Breaking News Live on Zee Business Twitter and Facebook. Subscribe on YouTube.
RECOMMENDED STORIES
Power of Compounding: How many years will it take to reach Rs 3 crore corpus if your monthly SIP is Rs 4,000, Rs 5,000, or Rs 6,000
Power of Compounding: Salary Rs 25,000 per month; is it possible to create over Rs 2.60 crore corpus; understand it through calculations
Liquor stock under Rs 300: Can this smallcap scrip double your money in 1-2 years? Check targets by Anil Singhvi
Reduce Home Loan EMI vs Reduce Tenure: Rs 75 lakh, 25-year loan; which option can save Rs 25 lakh and 64 months and how? Know here
08:00 AM IST