Chinas factories fall deeper into contraction, more policy support expected
Economists upgraded their forecasts for the worlds second-largest economy after better-than-expected third quarter data, but despite a flurry of policy support measures, negative sentiment among factory managers appears to have become entrenched in the face of weak demand both at home and abroad.
China's manufacturing activity shrank for a second straight month in November and at a quicker pace, suggesting more stimulus will be needed to shore up economic growth and restore confidence that the authorities can ably support industry.
Economists upgraded their forecasts for the world's second-largest economy after better-than-expected third quarter data, but despite a flurry of policy support measures, negative sentiment among factory managers appears to have become entrenched in the face of weak demand both at home and abroad.
The official purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell to 49.4 in November from 49.5 in October, National Bureau of Statistics data showed on Thursday, missing economists' forecast of 49.7. The 50-point mark demarcates contraction from expansion.
"The domestic market cannot make up for losses in Europe and the United States. The data shows that factories are producing less and hiring fewer people," said Dan Wang, chief economist at Hang Seng Bank China.
"(The data) could also show a loss of confidence in government policy," she added, warning factory activity was unlikely to improve anytime soon as other economic problems dominate. "The priority now is clearly containing the local government debt risk and the risk posed by regional banks."
The new orders sub-index contracted for a second consecutive month, while the new export orders component extended its decline for a ninth month.
In another worrying sign, the vast services sector contracted for the first time in 12 months. The non-manufacturing PMI, which includes services and construction, eased to 50.2 in November from 50.6 last month.
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