Gold prices opened flat on Tuesday and prices consolidated for most of the session in the range of  Rs 48750-Rs 49050 levels. Prices have taken strong support in the last session as the U.S. dollar slipped while prospects of further global stimulus underpinned the safe-haven metal. Hence, ICICI Securities expects Gold prices to rise towards Rs 49600 level in the short term.

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The Put base at Rs 73 is likely to act as crucial levels for the currency pair as it has remained an important support in the recent past. A move below these levels might open the gates for sharp appreciation. The dollar-rupee January contract on the NSE was at Rs 73.20 in the last session. The open interest increased almost 8% in the February series while marginal decline was seen in January series open interest.
 

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Equity benchmarks snapped two sessions decline and concluded Tuesday’s session on a positive note backed by buoyant Asian cues. The Nifty ended the session at 14521, up 240 points or 1.7%. Market breadth turned positive with A/D ratio of 3:1. Sectorally, all major indices ended in green led metal, financial, and auto.

The Nifty opened the session with a positive gap (14281-14372) and flared northward throughout the session as buying demand emerged from Monday’s panic low (placed around 14200). As a result, daily price action formed a sizable bull candle carrying higher high-low, indicating strong buying demand. Going ahead, we reiterate our positive stance and expect Nifty to head towards 14900 by the end of January. The Nifty is witnessing faster pace of retracement, as it has retraced 80% of past three sessions decline (14653-14222) in just a single session, indicating rejuvenation of upward momentum. Hence, any dip from here on ahead of key major events of the Union Budget should be capitalised as incremental buying opportunity.
 
ICICI Securities expect broader market indices to endure its relative outperformance wherein small cap index would outshine. Key point to highlight is that the Nifty midcap index has surged to new life-time highs, whereas the small cap index is still ~25% away from the all time high of 9657. Thus, we expect small caps to witness catch up activity. The elevated buying demand highlights robust price structure that makes us confident to revise support base upward at 14200 as it is 23.6% retracement of current up move (13131-14653) at 14294 coincided with 20 EMA at 14167 and Monday panic low of 14222
 
In the coming session, the Nifty future is likely to open on a soft note tracking muted global cues. However, ICICI Securities expect the index to trade with a positive bias while maintaining higher-low formation. Hence, use intraday dip towards 14460-14485 for creating a long position for a target of 14571.