Anil Singhvi Market Strategy: Zee Business Managing Editor Anil Singhvi expects support for the headline Nifty50 index to emerge at 23,800-23,900 levels and a strong buy zone at 23,665-23,750 levels on Friday, June 28, the first trading session of the July F&O series. 

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For the Nifty Bank, he expects support to come in at 52,375-52,600 levels and a strong buy zone at 51,850-52,000 levels.

Here's how Anil Singhvi sums up the market setup:

  • Global: Positive
  • FII: Positive
  • DII: Negative
  • F&O: Neutral
  • Sentiment: Positive
  • Trend: Positive
  • FII long positions at 82 per cent vs 67 per cent the previous day
  • Nifty put-call ratio (PCR) at 1.49 vs 1.31
  • Nifty Bank PCR at 0.97 vs 1.06
  • Volatility index India VIX up one per cent at 14.15

He sees a "blue-sky zone" emerging for the headline index above 24,125 with the next big targets in the range of 24,400-24,500. 

For the banking index, he expects a higher zone at 52,975-53,175 levels and a blue-sky zone above 53,250 with the next big targets of 53,500 and 54,000.

EDITOR'S TAKE

  • Good global signals
  • Strong buying by FIIs on monthly F&O expiry day
  • July series is generally good for the market
  • Market quite strong technically at life highs
  • Nifty50 support range has shifted upwards
  • There is a chance that Nifty50 & Nifty Bank may lose some of their momentum post-F&O expiry
  • Buy on dips at important support levels
  • One needs to be cautious about just one thing: FII positions extremely high at 82 per cent 
  • Market may pause at higher levels owing to profit-taking
  • Telecom shares to see buying interest due to rise in tariffs
  • IT stocks ready for strong moves ahead of quarterly results
  • Midcap & smallcap stocks may stage strong action

Telecom stocks to be impacted by tariff increases

  • Tariff raise was anticipated for long
  • Jio hike larger than expected
  • Bharti Airtel & Vodafone Idea can also raise tariffs soon
  • Tariff increases by profitable companies extremely positive
  • Tariff increases in most popular plans a sign of strength
  • Companies to register surges in cash flows
  • Profitability to increase with stronger balance sheets
  • Some profit-booking can occur in case of a big gap-up opening
  • Long-term investors should hold on to their positions
  • It is important to stay invested in telecom stocks for 1-2 years
  • 50 per cent upside expected from current levels

ANIL SINGHVI MARKET STRATEGY   ​

For existing long positions:

  • Nifty intraday and closing stop loss at 23,800
  • Nifty Bank intraday and closing stop loss at 52,300

For existing short positions:

  • Nifty intraday and closing stop loss at 24,125
  • Nifty Bank intraday stop loss at 53,250 and closing stop loss at 53,000

For new positions in Nifty50: 

  • The best range to buy Nifty is 23,800-23,900 with a stop loss at 23,650 for targets of 23,975, 24,050 and 24,085; above 24,125 one may hold their positions with a trailing stop loss
  • A slide below 23,800 will be the first sign of weakness in Nifty50   

For new positions in Nifty Bank: 

  • Aggressive traders can buy Nifty Bank in the 52,375-52,600 range with a strict stop loss at 52,300 for targets of 52,725, 52,800, 52,875, 52,975 and 53,175
  • Aggressive traders can sell Nifty Bank in the 52,975-53,175 range with a strict stop loss at 53,250 for targets of 52,875, 52,800, 52,750, 52,650, 52,600 and 52,375

Stocks in F&O ban

  • Out of ban: India Cements, PNB, SAIL, GNFC, Indus Towers
  • New in ban: None
  • Already in ban: None

Stocks of the Day

Buy Indus Towers shares in the cash segment with a stop loss at Rs 355 for targets of Rs 372, Rs 383 and Rs 388

  • Tariff hike positive for telecom sector
  • Stock out of F&O ban

Buy Vodafone Idea shares in the cash segment with a stop loss at Rs 18 for targets of Rs 20 and Rs 21

  • Tariff hike positive for telecom sector

What to expect in July F&O series?

  • Nifty has finished June series 1,555 points (about seven per cent) higher
  • Rollovers strong at 76.2 per cent 
  • Generally, July series brings gains on Dalal Street
  • July series has remained positive eight times in last 10 years
  • Only one thing to be cautious about: FII index long positions very high, at 82 per cent vs 13 per cent a month ago
  • FIIs likely to trim their positions at higher levels, which may trigger profit-booking

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