Stock Markets staring at difficult times ahead; Nifty50 breaching 16,800 could trigger further downside, says analyst

Domestic Stock markets plunged on Friday ending the week on a weak turf. The Sensex closed at 57,011, down by 889 points or 1.5 per cent while the Nifty50 ended at 16,985, down by 263 points or 1.5 per cent. Bank Nifty also witnessed a 900 points correction and settled down 2.5 per cent from the last closing on Thursday.

The Foreign Institutional Investors turned out to be net sellers on the last trading day selling Indian equities worth almost Rs 2070 cr. The Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) bought equities worth Rs 1478 cr.

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Over the week, both Nifty50 and Sensex have fallen by over 3 per cent. The Nifty Bank corrected by over 4 per cent while the mid cap and small cap indices corrected between 3.5 and 4 per cent.

The INR has also fallen significantly the week gone by and almost by 0.5 per cent.

The sectors that received the maximum drubbing include real estate (8 per cent), PSU Banks (7.5 per cent). Meanwhile, NBFCs, FMCG and auto sectors fell between 3.5 to 5 per cent. It was the only outlier with 2 per cent gains over the five trading sessions.

Market Analyst Sandeep Jain called this a difficult week for the stock markets. He said that despite a big global event in US Federal Reserve during the week the markets did not react much. However stance by many central banks was in contrast. ITC’s investor meet turned out to be a non-even and the stock has fallen significantly this week, the Tradeswift Director said. Most leading stocks fell and the Nifty Bank was played role in the market plunge.

The stock markets look nervous and there is a strong resistance around 17,600. The FIIs are also pulling their investments in the Indian equities with USD’s sharp  rise against the INR, Jain said. This is not a good sign, he further said.

The markets are starting at difficult times ahead. If the Nifty50 falls below 16,800, which was a recent low, a downside up to 16,500 and 16,300 will open.

The investors must remain cautious and watch if the fall resumes when the domestic markets reopen on Monday.

No leveraging and “unnecessary averaging” is required under current circumstances, Jain cautioned adding that one must not enter the market with high number of positions.