State Bank of India (SBI) remains largely self-funded, supported by improving core profitability and value unlocking in subsidiaries that are steadily gaining market share in their respective business areas. As per SBI management, the value accretion/unlocking in the subsidiaries should continue. So SBI will raise external equity capital only if it is available at favourable rates. The forced investment in Yes Bank could also prove to be a blessing in disguise in the long run.

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SBI says that the retail growth is swiftly moving toward pre-Covid level. This is driven by home loans in which SBI has a leadership position and auto loans where it has made deep inroads due to competitive rates. The bank also expects a revival in corporate credit with better utilization of WC limits across sectors. Factoring in a better growth outlook, Emkay is raising F22/23E credit growth estimate by 200 bps to 10%/15%.

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SBI management believes that ‘Digital’ is going to be the soul of future banking. It feels that SBI has a strong digital platform across asset/liability verticals to drive growth/fees, contain costs and improve core RoAs.

SBI’s GNPA has steadily declined to 5.3% since FY18. This is the lowest among PSBs and even better than that of ICICI Bank. . Improving prospects of resolutions in some large corporations should further reduce corporate NPAs. The bank now carries strong PCR on NPAs (71%), driven by strong PPoP on healthy margins and value unlocking in subsidiaries and investments.

After the initial volatility on February 03, the Nifty moved higher and crossed the previous all-time high of 14753 to touch 14868. The index is on the course to test the key psychological mark of 15000 on the upside. However, the hourly chart has developed a negative divergence, which means that the higher high in the index is not accompanied by a higher high in the hourly momentum indicator. Hence, a further rise towards 15000 is unlikely to be a one-sided move and the index can have minor corrections in between. On the downside, 14600-14500 will act as a near-term support zone.

On the daily chart, the Nifty is above the 20-day moving average (DMA) and the 40-DEMA, of 14353 and 13965, respectively. The momentum indicator is bullish on the daily chart. On the hourly chart, the Nifty is above the 20-hour moving average (HMA) and the 40-HEMA, of 14523 and 14397, respectively. The hourly momentum indicator is bearish. Market breadth was positive with 1165 advances and 703 declines on the National Stock Exchange.