Dalal Street Corner: Sensex, Nifty end negative this week, down over 2%; what should investors do on Monday?
The BSE Sensex tumbled 769 points to 54,334 and Nifty50 down 253 points to 16,245, while Nifty Bank slipped 537 points to 34,408 after a trading range of 1,000 points
The Indian markets continued its declining streak for the third straight session on Friday, dragged by auto stocks. Both the benchmark indices – Sensex and Nifty50 – fell by around 1.5 per cent at the close. Besides, Auto index, Metal and Realty indices slipped most during today’s sessions.
The BSE Sensex tumbled 769 points to 54,334 and Nifty50 down 253 points to 16,245, while Nifty Bank slipped 537 points to 34,408 after a trading range of 1,000 points. Similarly, Mid cap Index fell the most amongst frontline indices, down 586 pts to 27,517 during today’s market close.
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As many as 40 of 50 Nifty stocks close in the red with 15 of them falling between 3-5 per cent. Banks failed to hold recovery, as ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank plunged from highs to end near day’s low level. At least 9 Nifty stocks including Hero MotoCorp, HUL and Eicher hit fresh 52-week lows today.
On the contrary, ITC gained in an otherwise weak trading session today, stock up 3 per cent, whereas Dr Reddy’s snapped 3-day losing streak, stock is top Nifty gainer.
In this week, market falls for 4th straight week, the longest losing streak in last 2 years. Nifty Bank fell nearly 6 per cent this week, biggest weekly fall in 18 months, while Sensex and Nifty50 declined over 2 per cent each and Midcap Index down 1.5 per cent.
Auto is top losing index followed by private bank and realty index, as many as 20 Nifty stocks post losses of more than 5 per cent this week. Maruti, Asian Paints, Eicher, Hero Moto, M&M are top Nifty losers, and Tata Steel, Coal India, Hindalco, UPL, Power Grid top Nifty gainers.
We have collated views from different experts as to what investors should do when trading resumes:
Expert: Palak Kothari Research Associate Choice Broking.
Technically, Index has formed a bearish candle on a weekly time frame which suggests weakness in the counter. Furthermore, Index has been trading with lower highs-lower low formation from the last 5 weeks which suggest a southward journey in the upcoming day.
Moreover, the Index has been sustaining below 200-DMA which adds weakness in the prices. A momentum indicator Stochastic & MACD suggested negative crossover on the daily chart, which pointed-out further bearishness in the index.
The index can test the physiological level of 16000 breaching below it can show 15800-15700 levels while upside resistance comes at 16800 levels. On the other hand, Bank nifty has support at 34000 levels while resistance at 35000 levels.
Expert: Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities.
Nifty slipped lower after a few days of consolidation on the daily time-frame; which will heighten the possibility of falling below the 16000 mark over the short term. Immediate support is seen at 161000-16000 bands. On the higher end resistance seen at 16500.
Expert: Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services.
Global bourses are witnessing a sharp sell-off as reports of Russian attack on Europe’s biggest nuclear plant in Ukraine kept tension levels elevated.
Rising oil prices along with uncertainties on supply change disruption have instilled fears that inflation could cross RBI’s tolerance level, though temporarily. The domestic market, however, trimmed its losses as buying was witnessed in IT and Pharma stocks.
Expert: Vineet Bagri, Managing Partner- TrustPlutus Wealth
Currently, the markets worldwide are spooked with the events happening in Europe, which are causing volatility. FIIs have been sellers for almost 6 months now and have sold cumulatively Rs 2 lakh crore in this period. Commodities are hitting highs across the board – oil, coal, metals, farm.
The fact that this selling by foreign investors has been absorbed by domestic investors bodes well for the outlook of Indian markets. Besides, there could be a temporary shock if things worsen further in Europe but barring that we think risks are evenly balanced at this point.
Expert: Sandeep Jain, TradedSwift Director
Technically, market is abysmal and fundamentally the market has been inexpensive, P/E multiple of market has been multi-year low, and Nifty has been decisively low below 200-DMA, which is very bad indicator. Personally, below 200-DMA is like no investment or no trade zone.
The market will be oversold and if it falls below current level, it will go beyond 15000-15500 levels. Investors should keep their positions light and hold it, if tinkered good stocks may get away. One should take lesser of leverage positions and avoid trading and F&O for time being and should stay invested in quality stocks with conviction.
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