Skymet Weather Monsoon forecast: Even as rain picks up, El Nino fear still looms large

Despite heavy rains in July, the prospect of El Nino effect taking over are still looming large, according to forecaster Skymet Weather. The Skymet Weather report said, "Although now on decline, weather models are still indicating towards 50 per cent chances of El Nino during July. In fact, the probability would continue to be around 40 per cent throughout the leftover Monsoon months.''

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1. June witnessed a weak Monsoon below normal rains or dry conditions in many areas with the rainfall deficiency at as high as 33 per cent. However, July has seen decent rains and is expected to remain like this.

2. El Nino is known to suppress monsoon in India and hits periodically. El Nino years are associated with dry spells. It relates to warming up of surface water in equatorial Pacific Ocean and the reverse of it is known as El Nina which brings more rain.

3. Meanwhile, it has been pouring in parts of Delhi with Palam recording season's highest rainfall of 58mm in last 21 hours and Safdarjung recording 10 mm rains.

4. According to accuweather, El Nino is a part of a routine climate pattern that occurs when sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean rise to above-normal levels for an extended period of time.