Skymet predicts normal monsoon this year, says El Nino transforming into La Nina

Private weather forecaster Skymet on Tuesday predicted a normal monsoon season in India this year, with expected rainfall at 102 per cent of the long-period average (LPA) during the June-September period. Forecasting bountiful rainfall during the crucial monsoon season in the country, the agency predicted 95 per cent precipitation in June, 105 per cent in July, 98 per cent in August, and 110 per cent in September. 

The El Nino weather conditions are likely changing into a La Nina-like situation, according to the weather agency.

La Nina conditions are favourable for normal rainfall in India, crucial for its agricultural-oriented economy. La Nina and El Nino are two contrasting weather phenomena that impact global climate patterns. 

Skymet also predicted the possibility of a slow start to monsoon this year, with a good amount of rainfall predicted in the second half of the season. 

Typically, monsoon rains lash Kerala around June, cover the entire country around mid-July, and retreat in September. 

Monsoon rains are a vital component of the Indian economy, impacting various sectors and livelihoods across the country. The country's agricultural sector heavily relies on monsoon rains for irrigation and cultivation. 

Why are monsoon rains crucial for India?

Monsoon rains replenish reservoirs, ensuring water availability for crops and sustaining agricultural productivity. A good monsoon season leads to bountiful harvests, boosting the economy through increased agricultural output. The rains play a crucial role in ensuring food security for the country. A successful monsoon season translates to higher crop yields, which in turn stabilises food prices and reduces the risk of food shortages.

This stability is essential for maintaining a balanced economy and preventing inflation. Monsoon rains impact the rural economy by influencing agricultural incomes, employment opportunities, and overall economic growth in rural areas.

A successful monsoon season leads to higher rural spending power, driving demand for goods and services and stimulating economic activity in these regions.

What are the key differences between La Nina and El Nino?

La Nina brings cooler sea surface temperatures, leading to increased rainfall in some regions and drought in others. On the flipside, El Nino occurs when sea surface temperatures are warmer than average, causing disruptions in weather patterns worldwide.

The key distinction lies in the temperature of the Pacific Ocean and the resulting atmospheric effects.

While La Nina brings wetter conditions, El Nino leads to drier weather. Both phenomena play a significant role in shaping weather events not just in India but around the globe.