Big relief for Modi govt from oil prices now!
"The recent decline in oil prices might compress the CAD by around $5 bn-$6 bn from our estimates of $78 bn in current fiscal. This will imply CAD settling down at 2.6 per cent of GDP (previously 2.8 per cent). Additionally, if crude averages $65 and rupee stays at 70, then petrol and diesel prices could fall further on average by Rs 4 or more," the report said.
In 2017-18, India`s CAD had widened to 1.9 per cent of the GDP from 0.6 per cent in 2016-17. The current fiscal`s CAD is expected to reach 2.8 per cent. Image source: Reuters