India's February services activity grew at its fastest pace in 12 years on strong demand

Activity in India's dominant services sector expanded at the fastest pace in 12 years in February on strong demand as price pressures eased further, a private business survey showed on Friday.
The robust report could fuel hopes for Asia's third-largest economy, whose growth slowed to an annual 4.4% in October-December from 6.3% in July-September as pent-up demand eased and weakness in the manufacturing industry continued. The S&P Global India Services Purchasing Managers' Index (INPMIS=ECI) rose from 57.2 in January to 59.4 in February, its highest since February 2011 and considerably above all forecasts in a Reuters poll which had predicted a fall to 56.2.

It was above the 50-mark separating growth from contraction for the 19th straight month, its longest stretch of expansion since June 2013. "The service sector more than regained the growth momentum lost in January...as demand resilience and competitive pricing policies underpinned the joint-best upturn in sales over the same period," noted Pollyanna De Lima, economics associate director at S&P Global.

Although new business surged at its quickest rate in eight months, firms only increased hiring marginally and business confidence was the lowest in seven months.
"It seems that hiring growth was also dampened by a lack of confidence in the business environment. The degree of optimism recorded in February was...below the historical trend as some companies doubted demand would remain this resilient," De Lima added. "Others displayed concerns surrounding fierce competition for new work."

However, input costs rose at their slowest pace since September 2020, enabling firms to raise prices charged at the weakest rate in a year. If that trend continues, overall inflation, which rose to 6.52% in January, could ease over the coming months and might provide some breathing space for the Reserve Bank of India.

The RBI is expected to raise its repo rate to peak at 6.75% in April from 6.50% currently, according to a Reuters poll last week.
Strong growth in services activity boosted the composite index to 59.0 in February from January's 57.5, despite manufacturing growth slowing to a four-month low. 

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