Tesla jumps as analyst predicts $600 billion value boost from Dojo

Tesla rallied 6 per cent on Monday after Morgan Stanley said its Dojo supercomputer could power a nearly $600 billion surge in the electric car maker's market value by helping speed up its foray into robotaxis and software services. Tesla, already the world's most valuable automaker, started production of the supercomputer to train artificial intelligence (AI) models for self-driving cars in July and plans to spend more than $1 billion on Dojo through next year.

Dojo can open up new addressable markets that "extend well beyond selling vehicles at a fixed price," Morgan Stanley analysts led by Adam Jonas wrote in a note on Sunday. "If Dojo can help make cars 'see' and 'react,' what other markets could open up? Think of any device at the edge with a camera that makes real-time decisions based on its visual field."

The Wall Street brokerage upgraded Tesla's stock to "overweight" from "equal-weight" and replaced Ferrari's U.S.-listed shares with it as "top pick". Morgan Stanley raised its 12-18 month target on Tesla's shares by 60 per cent to $400 - the highest among Wall Street brokerages, as per LSEG data - which, it estimated, would give the EV maker a market capitalization of about $1.39 trillion.

That is about 76 per cent higher than Tesla's market value of about $789 billion, based on the stock's close of $248.5 on Friday. The stock climbed about 5.7 per cent to $262.70 on Monday.

Jonas expects Dojo to drive the most value in software and services.

Morgan Stanley raised its revenue estimate for Tesla's network services business to $335 billion in 2040 from $157 billion earlier. Jonas expects the unit to account for more than 60 per cent of Tesla's core earnings by 2040, nearly doubling from 2030.

"This increase is largely driven by the emerging opportunity we see in third-party fleet licensing, increased ARPU (average monthly revenue per user)," the analyst said.

Tesla's 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 57.9 is well ahead of legacy automakers Ford at 6.31 and General Motors at 4.56, according to LSEG data.