Tata Steel Q4 Results Preview: Net profit likely to drop 20%, domestic EBITDA per tonne may shrink 5%

Tata Steel Q4 FY24 Results Preview: Tata group steelmaker Tata Steel is all set to report its financial results for the quarter as well as the year ended March 31 on Wednesday, May 29. Analysts expect the steel giant to log a weak financial performance for the final three months of FY24. 

According to Zee Business research, Tata Steel is likely to register a consolidated net profit of Rs 1,354 crore for the March quarter, which translates into a fall of 20 per cent compared with the corresponding period a year ago. The analysts estimate the Tata group company's March-quarter revenue at Rs 61,096 crore as against Rs 62,962 crore a year ago. 

The alloy maker is expected to log Rs 6,516 crore in March-quarter earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), down 9.8 per cent on a year-on-year basis, according to the research. 

Zee Business analysts peg the Tata group steelmaker's India EBITDA per tonne—a key measure of income—at Rs 15,322 for the fourth quarter of FY24, lower than Rs 16,160 a year ago. However, they estimate the Tata group firm's Europe EBITDA per tonne to grow by $3 to $98.

Tata Steel's margin, a key measure of profitability, is expected to shrink by 79 basis points on a year-on-year basis to 10.67 per cent, according to the research. 

The results are expected to fare better sequentially, according to Zee Business research. 

Q3 Results Summary 

For the October-December period, Tata Steel registered a consolidated net profit of Rs 513 crore over revenue of Rs 55,312 crore. 

The steelmaker's quarterly EBITDA stood at Rs 6,264 crore and margin at 11.3 per cent, according to a regulatory filing. 

According to Zee Business research, Tata Steel's third-quarter net profit was estimated at Rs 630 crore, revenue at Rs 59,635 crore, EBITDA at Rs 5,067 crore and margin at Rs 8.5 per cent. 

Tata Steel Stock Historical Performance

As of May 29, Tata Steel shares have rewarded investors with a 62.5 per cent return in a year, sharply outperforming headline index Nifty's 21.9 per cent gain and sectoral index Nifty Metal's 65.8 per cent rally.

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