Tata Power Q3 Results Preview: EBITDA likely to grow over 22% with 170 bps improvement in margin

Tata group electricity generator Tata Power's shares succumbed to selling pressure on Friday as investors awaited the company's financial results for the October-December period due later in the day. Tata Power shares fell by as much as Rs 21.9, or 5.4 per cent, to Rs 385.7 apiece on BSE. Analysts expect the Tata group company to stage an operationally strong performance amid rising demand and stable coal prices, amid mild growth in the renewable segment.

According to Zee Business analysts, Tata Power is estimated to register a consolidated net profit of Rs 865 crore for the fiscal third quarter, translating into a year-on-year decline of 8.5 per cent. The analysts peg the Tata group company’s third-quarter revenue at Rs 15,700 crore as against Rs 14,129 crore for the corresponding period a year ago.

Tata Power is expected to clock 22.5 per cent growth in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) for the quarter ended December 31, 2023, according to the research.

Zee Business analysts estimate Tata Power’s quarterly margin, a key measure of profitability, to improve by 170 basis points (bps) to 18.22 per cent.

How Tata Power fared in July-September quarter (Q2 FY24)

For the fiscal second quarter, Tata Power staged a largely financial performance, with a better-than-expected 12.2 per cent rise in consolidated revenue to Rs 15,738 crore. 

Its net profit expanded 6.9 per cent to Rs 876 crore, and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) increased 75.6 per cent to Rs 3,091 crore for the July-September period, according to a regulatory filing. 

Zee Business analysts had estimated the power generation company's second-quarter net profit at Rs 970 crore, revenue at Rs 15,800 crore and EBITDA at Rs 2,380 crore. 

The Tata group company's revenue from its renewables unit increased 34 per cent. 

Tata Power shares: Past performance

As of February 8, Tata Power shares had rewarded investors with a 96.8 per cent return in the past year, sharply outperforming a 21.5 per cent rise in the headline Nifty50 index.

The Tata Power stock grew 26.6 per cent in the December quarter while the benchmark index rose 10.7 per cent. 

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